Second Level Thinking

Ideas to help you see things differently.

Every fortnight I share one idea from my own work and reading on leadership, decision-making and performance. Free, straight to your inbox.

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The Taste Premium

The Taste Premium

Published on: 15/10/2026

Issue 53: As AI makes competent work free, knowing what’s worth doing becomes the most valuable human skill. Here’s why, and how to build it.

The Doomer’s Dividend

The Doomer’s Dividend

Published on: 24/09/2026

Issue 52: AI labs warn of catastrophe and ask to slow the race. Follow the incentives, and the push for safety starts to look like regulatory capture.

The Last Human Edge

The Last Human Edge

Published on: 13/08/2026

Issue 50: As AI makes execution cheap, the quality of your decisions becomes your last real edge. Annie Duke’s thinking in bets, sharpened.

The Empire Trap

The Empire Trap

Published on: 23/07/2026

Issue 49: We’ve long measured executives by the size of the army they command. AI is breaking that proxy. Here’s what replaces it.

Oh, Australia

Oh, Australia

Published on: 11/06/2026

Issue 47: The AI boom has split the world into two economies. Why Australia sits on the wrong side, and the policy choices keeping us there.

Compute’s 1983 Moment

Compute’s 1983 Moment

Published on: 21/05/2026

Issue 46: CME is launching compute futures. The real question is who controls the benchmark underneath, and four camps are fighting for it.

The Forces Shaping Markets This Year

The Forces Shaping Markets This Year

Published on: 15/01/2026

Issue 40: A macroeconomic and markets outlook for 2026, from growth, inflation and policy to AI, stocks, bonds, crypto, commodities and the key risks.

Deep Logic: Mastering Second-Level Thinking

Deep Logic: Mastering Second-Level Thinking

Published on: 07/03/2024

Issue 3: How to out-think the consensus with second-level thinking, and the second-order impacts of Nvidia, 'the most important stock'.